MY PUBLISHED PICKS
Before each day's NCAA tournament play, I proffered my choices of expected winners. Of course none of my "money brackets" matched those exact predictions. Technically that would be impossible because I missed calling the winner in eight first round games. Except for Round One, my predictions essentially are "rebracket" choices. For simplicity's sake, we'll ignore that fallacious detail.
Below is a summary of my round-by-round prophecies.
ROUND ONE (25-7)
Thursday (losing picks in red)
West Virginia beat Clemson
Butler beat Old Dominion
Morehead State beat Louisville
Temple beat Penn State
Kentucky beat Princeton
Pitt beat UNC-Asheville
Richmond beat Vanderbilt
San Diego State beat Northern Colorado
Florida beat UC-Santa Barbara
BYU beat Wofford
UConn beat Bucknell
Wisconsin beat Belmont
UCLA beat Michigan State
Gonzaga beat St. Johns
Cincinnati beat Missouri
Kansas State beat Utah State
Friday
Texas beat Oakland
Michigan beat Tennessee
Notre Dame beat Akron
George Mason beat Villanova
Arizona beat Memphis
Duke beat Hampton
Florida State beat Texas A&M
Ohio State beat UT-San Antonio
Kansa beat Boston U
North Carolina beat Long Island
Purdue beat St. Peter's
Marquette beat Xavier
Illinois beat UNLV
Washington beat Georgia
VCU beat Georgetown
Syracuse beat Indiana State
My Round One record was reasonably accurate. Surely no one except Morehead State fans picked them to beat Louisville. I took Missouri based on my heart, not my head. The mess around Bruce Pearl probably affected the Tennessee-Michigan outcome. I thought 'Nova would break out of its late-season slump. Wrong. I vastly underestimated FSU's defense, which blunted the Aggies' offense. I had Illinois losing because they lost to Missouri; and I thought Georgetown would rally for a win with Chris Wright's return. Wrong again.
ROUND TWO (10-6)
SATURDAY
Kentucky beat West Virginia
Florida beat UCLA
Richmond beat Morehead State
San Diego State beat Temple
Butler beat Pitt
BYU beat Gonzaga
Wisconsin beat Kansas State
UConn beat Cincinnati
` SUNDAY
North Carolina beat Washington
Duke beat Michigan
Ohio State beat George Mason
Arizona beat Texas
VCU beat Purdue
Marquette beat Syracuse
Kansas beat Illinois
Florida State beat Notre Dame
I should have known Pitt would fall out early. They always do. Even with the loss of Davies, BYU was stronger than I expected. K-State gave one away to the Badgers. I kept expecting UConn to run out of gas. Marquette's win wasn't really a surprise. Notre Dame's loss killed me in my "money brackets."
ROUND THREE (5-3)
THURSDAY
UConn beat San Diego State
Florida beat BYU
Arizona beat Duke
Butler beat Wisconsin
FRIDAY
North Carolina beat Marquette
Kansas beat Richmond
Kentucky beat Ohio State
VCU beat Florida State
Thursday I picked every team that would hurt my brackets. Even Florida can't help me now.
Friday's early games were easy picks. Of course I had the Buckeyes going deep in four of my five pools; and I finally got on FSU's bandwagon just as the wheels fell off.
After three rounds and 56 games, I stand at 40-16. Next up: playing the odds. That should be interesting. For those willing to put money on college basketball, a word of advice: I am the world's worst gambler.
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