Thursday, December 22, 2011

TIGERS TRY TO REMAIN UNBEATEN


 

    Going into tonight's game against Illinois in St. Louis, surprising Missouri (11-0 and ranked 9th) leads the nation in scoring (87.9/game); shooting (52.6%); and margin of victory (27.7).

    The Tigers have won the last two Braggin' Rights games but trail the all-time series 14-27. Michael Dixon, Mizzou's superb 6th man, says he doesn't plan to lose to the Illini, "ever".

    Frank Haith, in his first year at the helm at Missouri, has sold the undersized and undermanned Tigers on a philosophy much different than that of the departed Mike Anderson. The 2011-12 Tigers run a solid half-court offense and half-court defense, having abandoned Anderson's frenetic "40 minutes of hell" style of play.

    Whereas the full-tilt style of the past few years caused some problems for opponents, the system was ultimately neutralized as opposing coaches found ways to break down Anderson's strategy with easy back-door opportunities when Mizzou overplayed the passing lanes.

     Partly out of necessity (Missouri will dress just nine players tonight) but primarily out of coaching philosophy, Haith's system still relies on Mizzou's quickness at the guard position, but the defense is much more fundamentally sound. MU is sixth nationally with 10.4 steals per game, leading to easy scoring chances that have vaulted the Tigers to the top of the offensive stats.

    MU's undersized Tigers have handled all comers in Haith's first year at the helm. But the Illini (11-1) are ranked 25th and have more size and depth than any team the Tigers have faced this season. Illinois' only loss of the season was to UNLV (21st), victor over North Carolina. Illinois edged Cornell, 64-60, Monday in Bloomington.

    Marcus Denmon is being mentioned by some pundits as an All-American candidate. The senior guard, an All-Big 12 selection last year, leads four Tigers in double-digit scoring with 19.6 per game; and he gets his points in every way imaginable: three-pointers (45.8%), free throws (91.7%), drives to the basket and within the scope of Haith's structured half-court offense. His tough-as-nails floor game includes solid defense and rebounding (5.3/game), usually against bigger matchups.

    Ricardo Ratliffe has benefitted from Haith's coaching, as well. The 6-8 senior "center" is among national leaders in field goal percentage (76.9), and his post play is vastly improved, boosting his rebounding numbers (7.2/game). It helps that Phil Pressey has a year's experience and also benefits from the half-court sets Haith favors. Matt Pressey, "Flip's" older brother, has been starting and adds more than five boards and eight points a game.

    Perhaps the biggest beneficiary of Haith's system has been Kim English, out of the funk of Anderson's dog house. When Laurence Bowers went down with a season-ending knee injury before the season started, English was forced to play out of position and take on the role of "power forward" instead of his accustomed spot as roving gunner. Listed at 6-6, English has played heady defense against bigger players, has shown a new-found willingness to battle on the boards and gets his 16 points a game within the context of the offense.

    Dixon is first off the bench and, after a career high 30-point outburst against William & Mary, averages 12.6 points and 2.3 steals per game. His contributions aren't all in the stats, though. His energy on defense often leads to turnovers and fast break opportunities.

    Steve Moore also brings some fire off the bench and has been steady, if unspectacular, when he comes in to spell Ratliffe.

    Bruce Weber's Illini have been great on defense, too. They are giving up only 57.7 points a game (23rd) while holding opponents to just 38.5% from the field.

    In a game that usually has a bit of a tournament feel but seldom follows form, Mizzou is a 7-point favorite. Should the Tigers make it three in a row over Illinois and win at Old Dominion next week, they could go into their final Big 12 Conference season with the program's best record in 30 years.

    

Saturday, April 2, 2011

NCAA SEMIFINALS

    The most improbable Final Four in NCAA history tips off tonight when Virginia Commonwealth, seeded 11th, meets 8th-seeded Butler in the first game. Kentucky, a #4 seed, plays Connecticut, the highest remaining seed at #3, in the nightcap.

    VCU, one of the last teams invited to dance, looks for its sixth tournament win, which ordinarily would mean a championship; but under the new 68-team format, the Rams were one of four teams to advance from the play-in game. Butler makes its second straight Final Four appearance after losing to Duke in last year's championship game.

    UConn, behind the inspirational play of junior guard Kemba Walker, seeks its 10th straight win.

Jim Calhoun's Huskies won five games in five days to take the Big East Tournament and have shown no sign of letting up. John Calipari's young Wildcats gelled late to earn a shot at another championship.

    In predicting the Regional finals, Kentucky was my only correct pick. I didn't think Butler could repeat last year's success; Kansas was just too good for VCU; and I've been waiting for UConn to run out of gas since the tournament began.

    The three pools I entered are already settled, so I have no rooting interest in any of the remaining teams; therefore I can't pick against myself. And I have no real feel for tonight's games.

Be that as it may, I'll try to salvage some credibility by going with Butler and Kentucky to make Monday's championship game. The smart money will take VCU and UConn.

    

    

    

Sunday, March 27, 2011

ANDERSON RETURNS TO ARKANSAS

MIKE ANDERSON'S MISSOURI LEGACY    

    After five seasons at the University of Missouri, head basketball coach Mike Anderson on Wednesday submitted his resignation to take over at Arkansas, where he served 17 years as a Nolan Richardson assistant.

    Anderson's success as head man at UAB and Missouri led to overtures from Georgia and Oregon after his third and fourth seasons at MU. He eschewed MU's reported $2 million yearly salary and contract extension to return to Arkansas for a 7-year deal worth about $2.2 million a year.

     Missouri Athletic Director Mike Alden immediately began to search for a "name" replacement; and today the name mentioned most often is Matt Painter who in five years at his alma mater, Purdue, took the Boilermakers to two Sweet 16's while racking up 129 victories. With Cuonzo Martin, another Purdue grad, leaving Missouri State for Tennessee, the Painter possibility seems suspect, as Martin would have been a likely candidate at Purdue if Painter is seriously considering the Missouri job.

    Anderson's departure contradicted his vow just weeks ago to stay at Missouri for the long haul. The reaction of fans and media has been vitriolic, reflecting a sense of betrayal and manipulation from a coach whose Tiger teams averaged only a fifth place Big XII finish during his tenure at Mizzou.

    Despite the messy exit, Anderson revitalized a program left in shambles at the end of Quin Snyder's 6-year stint. Hired in March, 2006, Anderson inherited a team of prima donna troublemakers and brought discipline and an up-tempo style that restored a measure of respectability for Missouri basketball. It took most of his first two years to weed out the malcontents from the Snyder era and to find players willing to sacrifice personal agendas that meshed with his philosophy of "40 minutes of hell." MU went 34-28 (13-19 Big XII) and failed to make post-season play those first two years.

    In the 2008-09 season, with a grab bag of Snyder's recruits mixed with a few of his own signees, Anderson's Tigers finished 31-7 (setting a school record for victories), went 12-4 in conference, won the Big XII tournament, earned a #3 seed in the NCAA tournament, fired up long-suffering Mizzou fans and captured the imagination of the college hoops world before losing to Connecticut in the West Regional Finals.

    Last year, Missouri finished 23-11 (10-6 Big XII), lost its first round Big XII tournament game but managed a return to the Big Dance as a 10th seed, beating Clemson in the first round before bowing out to West Virginia. The Tigers did beat Illinois after 10 consecutive losses.

    This year Mizzou was ranked as high as 8th in early polls but fell out of the Top 25 after its late season slump. The Tigers managed only one conference road win, finished 23-11 again (but only 8-8 in conference play), again lost a first round game in the conference tournament, slipped into the NCAA field as an 11 seed but lost to Cincinnati in the first round.

    Anderson's critics point to a number of factors that contributed to Missouri's mild regression over the past two years: failure to recruit the best high school prospects from inside the state's borders (see Alec Burks out of Grandview who went to Colorado); failure to bolster a thin and undersized corps of big men; inability to field teams capable of more than a few upsets against the Big XII's traditional powers. The recruiting problems are inherent to a program not perceived as "elite" in a national sense.

Nevertheless when mid-major teams such as Butler and Gonzaga consistently find ways to compete against top-tier programs, Mizzou's frustrated fans can't fathom why the state's flagship basketball program has never made it to the Final Four, let alone won a national title.    

    As is the wont of all coaches, Mike Anderson has moved on. He teased the Tiger faithful with a meteoric flash in his third year but couldn't duplicate that success the past two seasons. Although his time here didn't meet with total success, Anderson did put MU basketball back on solid footing. No Missouri team won more games in a three-year span than his last three. His overall record in five years was 111-47, including a Big XII tournament trophy and a 5-3 record in three consecutive NCAA tournaments.

    Alden's next hire will inherit a veteran team of Anderson's recruits, will benefit from first-class facilities and will be paid big bucks to take Missouri basketball to a higher level of competiveness.    

Saturday, March 26, 2011

NCAA TOURNAMENT PREDICTIONS

MY PUBLISHED PICKS

    Before each day's NCAA tournament play, I proffered my choices of expected winners. Of course none of my "money brackets" matched those exact predictions. Technically that would be impossible because I missed calling the winner in eight first round games. Except for Round One, my predictions essentially are "rebracket" choices. For simplicity's sake, we'll ignore that fallacious detail.

    Below is a summary of my round-by-round prophecies.

ROUND ONE (25-7)

    Thursday (losing picks in red)

        West Virginia beat Clemson

        Butler beat Old Dominion

        Morehead State beat Louisville

        Temple beat Penn State

        Kentucky beat Princeton

        Pitt beat UNC-Asheville

        Richmond beat Vanderbilt

        San Diego State beat Northern Colorado

        Florida beat UC-Santa Barbara

        BYU beat Wofford

        UConn beat Bucknell

        Wisconsin beat Belmont

        UCLA beat Michigan State

        Gonzaga beat St. Johns

        Cincinnati beat Missouri

        Kansas State beat Utah State

    Friday

        Texas beat Oakland

        Michigan beat Tennessee

        Notre Dame beat Akron

        George Mason beat Villanova

        Arizona beat Memphis

        Duke beat Hampton

        Florida State beat Texas A&M

        Ohio State beat UT-San Antonio

        Kansa beat Boston U

        North Carolina beat Long Island

        Purdue beat St. Peter's

        Marquette beat Xavier

        Illinois beat UNLV

        Washington beat Georgia

        VCU beat Georgetown

        Syracuse beat Indiana State

    My Round One record was reasonably accurate. Surely no one except Morehead State fans picked them to beat Louisville. I took Missouri based on my heart, not my head. The mess around Bruce Pearl probably affected the Tennessee-Michigan outcome. I thought 'Nova would break out of its late-season slump. Wrong. I vastly underestimated FSU's defense, which blunted the Aggies' offense. I had Illinois losing because they lost to Missouri; and I thought Georgetown would rally for a win with Chris Wright's return. Wrong again.

ROUND TWO (10-6)

    SATURDAY

        Kentucky beat West Virginia

        Florida beat UCLA

        Richmond beat Morehead State

        San Diego State beat Temple

        Butler beat Pitt

        BYU beat Gonzaga

        Wisconsin beat Kansas State

        UConn beat Cincinnati

`    SUNDAY

        North Carolina beat Washington

        Duke beat Michigan

        Ohio State beat George Mason

        Arizona beat Texas

        VCU beat Purdue

        Marquette beat Syracuse

        Kansas beat Illinois

        Florida State beat Notre Dame

    I should have known Pitt would fall out early. They always do. Even with the loss of Davies, BYU was stronger than I expected. K-State gave one away to the Badgers. I kept expecting UConn to run out of gas. Marquette's win wasn't really a surprise. Notre Dame's loss killed me in my "money brackets."

ROUND THREE (5-3)

    THURSDAY

        UConn beat San Diego State

        Florida beat BYU

        Arizona beat Duke

        Butler beat Wisconsin

    FRIDAY    

        North Carolina beat Marquette

        Kansas beat Richmond

        Kentucky beat Ohio State

        VCU beat Florida State

    Thursday I picked every team that would hurt my brackets. Even Florida can't help me now.

Friday's early games were easy picks. Of course I had the Buckeyes going deep in four of my five pools; and I finally got on FSU's bandwagon just as the wheels fell off.

    After three rounds and 56 games, I stand at 40-16. Next up: playing the odds. That should be interesting. For those willing to put money on college basketball, a word of advice: I am the world's worst gambler.

NCAA REGIONAL FINALS

MY PICKS

    SATURDAY

    Florida (2) vs.
Butler (8):
The Gators have eliminated the Bulldogs in two previous NCAA             matchups (a 69-68 overtime win in the 2000 first round and in the 2007 regional             semifinals). Butler is trying to make a second straight Final Four appearance, but its

        glass slipper breaks tonight against a bigger and more athletic Florida five.

    UConn (3) vs. Arizona (5): Two great talents meet
in a clash between teams that missed the             Big Dance last year. Kemba Walker, for my money the national player of the year, has             been unstoppable in the Huskies' remarkable late-season run. Derrick Williams             dominated the second half of the Wildcats' demolition of Duke in Thursday's regional             semis. Lamont "MoMo" Jones will try to contain Walker. The two have been friends             since their junior high school days in New York. UConn waltzed through the first two             rounds before putting San Diego State away late in the semis. Arizona is lucky to be             alive after edging Memphis in the first round and miraculously beating Texas to reach             the Sweet 16. But the Wildcats seem to be peaking, while the Huskies have to be             running low on energy. Arizona ekes out a victory to eliminate the Big East's last hope.

    SUNDAY

    Kansas (1) vs. Virginia Commonwealth (11): Could the Jayhawks have had an easier path             in the tournament? Is there any question the Rams deserved an invitation? No and no.         KU won its first three tournament games by an average of 21 points. After winning its             "play-in" game, VCU dominated Georgetown and Purdue before ousting Florida State in         overtime on a buzzer beater. VCU is the kind of team that has given Kansas fits in recent         NCAA play; but the Jayhawks, the last #1 seed alive, are playing good basketball and will         end VCU's Cinderella dream. The winner will meet the Florida-Butler winner.        

    North Carolina (2) vs. Kentucky (4): Two of the most storied programs in college basketball play         Sunday with the victor advancing to the Final Four. Kentucky, with the most wins in the         history of college hoops, is in its 51st national tournament, also a record. The Wildcats             have seven national championships, second only to UCLA. They are 103-46 all-time in             national tournaments and have been to the Final Four 13 times. North Carolina, 102-            39 all-time in NCAA tournament play, has five national titles and 18 Final Four                 appearances in 41 trips to the tournament. UNC won the title in 2009 but missed last             year's tournament. Kentucky, which last won the championship in 1998, has been in 18         of the last 19 tournaments, missing out in 2009. Carolina, playing its best ball late in the         year, slipped past Washington in the second round. Kentucky, the SEC tournament             champion, barely got by Princeton in the first round; beat West Virginia 71-63 to             advance; and eliminated top-seed Ohio State, 62-60, on Brandon Knight's jumper with             5.4 seconds to play. North Carolina beat Kentucky, 75-73, in Chapel Hill in December,             but both teams have improved over the course of the season. In what shapes up as a             classic game, John Calipari's Wildcats nip Roy Williams' 'Heels and advance to face             either UConn or Arizona.

        

Friday, March 25, 2011

NCAA FRIDAY-ROUND OF 16

MY PICKS

North Carolina (2) vs. Marquette (11): Wouldn't it be great to see a tournament without the 'Heels or     Blue Devils? Won't happen. UNC knocks out Cinderella.

Kansas (1) vs. Richmond (12): Or without Kansas? The only chance I have in one pool is for KU to lose.

    Won't happen. Spiders fall.

Ohio State (1) vs. Kentucky (4): I didn't have the Wildcats going any further. They do match up and     might pull a stunner; but I'll stick with the Buckeyes.

Florida State (10) vs. VCU (11): OK, who had this matchup on a sheet? The Seminoles' defense will key     the FSU win.

Thursday, March 24, 2011

NCAA THURSDAY GAMES-ROUND OF 16

MY PICKS

If the higher seeds win, my money pools are enhanced. Therefore, I will pick against all of them.

San Diego State (2) vs. Connecticut (3): I really need the Aztecs, so I'm sure UConn keeps rolling.

Florida (2) vs. BYU (3): Again, my brackets need help with the Gators; ergo Jimmer takes the Cougars to     victory.

Duke (1) vs. Arizona (5): Can't see the Blue Devils winning back-to-back. The Wildcats trip them up.

Wisconsin (4) vs. Butler (8): In keeping with today's theme, I'm picking the fourth team I don't need in     my pools. Butler makes another run.