With a little more than a month before conference tournaments begin and the NCAA Tournament selection committee picks the 65 teams for March Madness, it's time to look at how college basketball is shaping up.
When the rankings come out February 1, look for Kansas to regain the top spot it held before losing at Tennessee in what might best be described as a wrinkle in the fabric of time and space. Villanova, undefeated in Big East play has a chance to take over the #1 ranking; and Kentucky, which was #1 until losing at South Carolina, is another contender. Texas continues to slide after a week at the top.
Rankings at this time of year are more or less for the fans; and achieving the Number One position has proved, again, to be something of a curse.
The Big East and Big 12 Conferences appear to be the best of the leagues. The Southeastern Conference has some strong teams; and the ACC is a train wreck. Last year's NCAA champion, North Carolina, will probably fall out of the Top 25 for the first time in eons; and Maryland leads the ACC, at least for the time being.
BIG EAST
Villanova, which made the Final Four last year, is led by Scottie Reynolds, a strong candidate for Player of the Year. At 19-1 and 8-0 in the league, 'Nova looks to be the cream of the Big East.
Syracuse (19-1, 8-1), West Virginia (17-3, 6-2), Pittsburgh (17-4, 6-3) and Georgetown (6-3, 16-4) have all been highly ranked this season and are probably locks for the Big Dance. The Orangemen may even have a claim for a #1 seed come tourney time. They are led by Wesley Johnson, a superbly gifted swingman who transferred from Iowa State.
Connecticut, ranked #19 at the start of the week and another 2009 Final Four team, was in a slide before Coach Jim Calhoun took a medical leave of absence. They beat St. Johns and then #1 Texas in Storrs in the first games of Calhoun's absence but lost late at Providence and again Saturday to visiting Marquette.
Louisville (13-8, 4-4) and Notre Dame (4-5, 15-7) will have to make up some ground in conference play to earn NCAA bids.
BIG 12
Kansas, with Saturday's overtime win over Kansas State in Manhattan, has a stranglehold on the Big 12 lead. The Jayhawks stand at 6-0 in conference play and at 19-1 overall. Bill Self's squad must still go on the road to Texas and Missouri and will see K-State again in Lawrence; but the Jayhawks' depth and athleticism should power them to their sixth straight Big 12 title. KU's strength is an aircraft carrier in the post and a tough and experienced guard on the perimeter. Cole Aldrich, a preseason All-American choice, is beginning to assert himself in the paint; and Sherron Collins gives them a floor general who's not afraid to fire from outside or take it strong to the rim. Add to that the Morris twins, Xavier Henry, and a never-ending troop of McDonald's All-Americans off the bench to provide scoring and defensive pressure and you have a team that will be hard to handle come March.
Texas has, at times, looked unbeatable. When Rick Barnes' young guards take care of the ball and let Damion James and Dexter Pittman have their touches inside, the Longhorns are scary. We'll have to see how the 'Horns handle the 'Hawks.
Kansas State, with fiery Frank Martin at the helm, is a street-mean team with no fear. They have hovered around #10 for most of the year and will be a difficult matchup come tourney time.
Missouri's "fastest 40 minutes" of roundball can be problematic, both for opponents and for themselves. Coach Mike Anderson's sophomore-laden team is one of the youngest in the country and has had trouble finding a consistent scorer and inside presence; but at mid-term, they are tied with Texas for second in the league and have a 32-game home winning streak that includes a perfect record at Mizzou Arena in last year's run to the Elite Eight. If the Tigers can split their remaining conference games, they should make it to the NCAA's again.
Baylor, under Scott Drew, has already played the toughest part of its schedule and faces just one ranked team (Texas) before the Big 12 Tournament. At 16-4 overall and 3-3 in conference, look for the Bears to move up in the polls and the conference standings.
The Big 12 had the best record against non-conference opponents (142-31), and lost only one home game before conference play began. It also has the best record (28-12) in the country in games against the ACC, SEC, Big Ten, Big East and Pac-10. The strength of the conference may help bubble teams, such as Oklahoma State and Texas A&M, receive at-large bids to the NCAA dance.
ACC
Maryland (4-1, 14-5) is atop the topsy-turvy ACC Conference. Gary Williams' Terrapins only conference loss was at Wake Forest, but they have not yet played a ranked conference team.
Duke, at #7 beginning the week, is probably the best team in a league that guarantees nothing for the perennial powers. The Blue Devils lost have lost at Georgia Tech and North Carolina State and Saturday dropped a non-conference game at #11 Georgetown. Mike Krzyzewski's crew is led by Jon Scheyer and Kyle Singler, typical Dukies with a penchant for making big shots.
Florida State and Georgia Tech both stand at 4-3 in conference play and 16-5 overall; but the Seminoles have won both meetings with the Yellow Jackets in early league play. Georgia Tech has been in the Top 25 for most of the season; and Florida State has flirted with national ranking all year.
Clemson, too, has been ranked but has lost three straight going into Sunday's home game against Maryland. They blew out North Carolina, then #13, on January 13. The Tarheels (13-7, 2-3) lost three straight in mid-January and fell out of the Top 25 for the first time since January, 2006.
It may take all of February to sort out the ACC, but look for the league to send as many as nine teams to the NCAA tournament.